"Krone" commentary
The next target is Hezbollah
History is repeating itself: Israel withdrew from (southern) Lebanon in 2000 and from Gaza in 2005. Now Israel is also announcing its return to Lebanon. This is not without a certain logic if Israel wants to eliminate the threat from the north (rocket fire from Hezbollah) after the threat from the south (rocket fire from Gaza).
The escalation on the Lebanese border has received far too little attention due to the Gaza war. Due to the almost daily rocket terror, 80,000 Israelis had to be evacuated from the northern border. Civilian targets have been destroyed and casualties recorded.
However, Israeli generals have always stated that a war against Hezbollah would involve far greater risks than a war against Hamas. Up to 150,000 rockets from Iran, some of them heavy, are aimed at Israel. Christian villages in southern Lebanon serve Hezbollah as shields against an Israeli military strike.
Israel intervened in the Lebanese civil war in 1982 and advanced as far as Beirut to drive Yasser Arafat's PLO out of the country. The Shiite Hezbollah had also emerged from the civil war as the political winner. The dominance of the Christians had been broken.
Step by step, Israel had finally withdrawn from its "security zones" in southern Lebanon. The Shiite Hezbollah followed suit.
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